Wealth Planning for Your Child’s Tertiary Education (Part 2) – Achieving the Financial Goal

This is part 2 of my second article written in the capacity of Solutions Specialist at Providend looking at wealth planning for children tertiary education. The article was first published on Providend website here:
https://providend.com/wealth-planning-for-your-childs-tertiary-education-part-2-achieving-the-financial-goal/


In Part 1 of this article, we established a baseline financial goal for your children’s tertiary education. We now turn our attention to wealth planning for achieving this goal.

Inflation of Financial Goal

Based on the country selection (Singapore, Australia, United Kingdom, or United States) and academic field (medicine vs non-medicine), we have determined a baseline lump sum goal to set aside for tertiary education from our research data in Part 1.

By considering the inflation rates for tuition fees and living expenses, we projected the inflation-adjusted lump sum goal that you should aim for when it is time to send your children for tertiary education. The following graph shows the cost inflation for non-medicine courses in the 4 countries we cover:


We can see from the graph that the total education cost will inflate over time, approximately doubling in 20 years. Therefore, you would want to start planning for your children’s education fund early.

For overseas universities, there is an added uncertainty in the currency exchange rate. We won’t be able to predict the foreign currency movement in the future with certainty. So what you can do is to add a buffer amount to the goal for any possible SGD depreciation against the targeted foreign currency.

With so many moving parts, we know the targeted education fund amount is based on best estimates. You would need to review and revise the amount regularly to cater for changes in education needs, university landscape, inflation rates, and currency movement.

Creating a Financial Plan

After setting a goal to achieve in a suitable time horizon, you can create a financial plan using the following steps:

  1. Assess your current financial situation
    Take stock of your current assets, liabilities, income, and expenses. Determine how much you can commit to your children’s education goals.
  2. Calculate the required savings/investment amount in your children’s education fund
    Consider expected investment returns to determine how much you need to save and invest to reach your goal. Open a separate account to deposit the initial lump sum and set up a regular saving mechanism if necessary.
  3. Select an appropriate investment vehicle
    Consider various investment options based on your risk tolerance, time horizon, and expected returns. Diversify your investments to manage risk and returns.
  4. Monitor and adjust your plan
    Regularly review your financial goal amount and track your investment returns against your goal. If necessary, adjust your plan to cater for changing circumstances.
  5. Consider professional advice
    If you are not comfortable about financial planning and investing on your own, consider engaging a trusted financial advisor to guide you in creating a plan based on your specific situation.

Risk Tolerance

An important factor that determines the appropriate investment vehicle is your risk tolerance, which is how much volatility you can tolerate in the investment. At Providend, we use a process of risk profiling to determine your willingness, ability and need to bear risk:

  • Willingness to bear risk
    This refers to your emotional comfort level with uncertainty and the potential for loss. Your willingness to bear risk can vary depending on factors such as personal temperament, past experiences, and risk preferences.
  • Ability to bear risk
    This refers to your financial capacity to absorb and recover from potential losses, and the ability to hold through the time horizon without having the need to liquidate your investment prematurely. Your ability to bear risk is determined by your personal financial health, such as having adequate emergency funds, sufficient insurance coverage and job stability.
  • Need to bear risk
    This refers to the amount of risk you need to take to achieve your financial goal. Your need to bear risk is influenced by factors such as growth target, time horizon and desired level of return on investment. The higher the investment return you seek, the higher is your need to bear risk.

It is important to consider these 3 factors when assessing your risk tolerance and making decisions related to your financial plan and investment instruments. This will allow you to make more informed investment and cash flow decisions that are more likely to help you achieve your financial goals.

Case Study

Let us look at an example. Suppose you have 2 kids, who will be entering university 8 and 16 years later respectively. You plan to send them to non-medicine courses, one to a local university and the other to Australia. The following table shows the projected education costs based on our research data in Part 1:

planning-for-your-childrens-education-part-2-2

The inflation-adjusted education cost is projected to be $126,400 and $575,300 when your 2 kids are starting their respective university courses. Let us assume that you can set aside $300,000 for their university education, and that your risk profile is assessed to be high risk.

We can consider 2 portfolios[1], one for each child’s education fund. Portfolio 1 for child 1 is a balanced portfolio of 60% equity and 40% bond delivering 4.5% p.a. return. Portfolio 2 for child 2 is a 100% equity portfolio delivering 6.5% p.a. return.

The table below presents two portfolios in which the $300,000 is divided, along with a comparison to the portfolio values if the same capital is invested in a fixed deposit with a 2% p.a. interest rate:

planning-for-your-childrens-education-part-2-3


We can see that the 2 portfolios proposed would be able to meet the financial goals you set for the 2 kids if your capital is invested in equities and bonds. If you choose to place your capital in fixed deposits, you will need larger capital, almost double the capital for portfolio 2 to meet its goal.

Conclusion

With the anticipated rise in education costs due to inflation, it is vital to include a children’s education fund in your wealth planning for the family.

The total cost of university education can range from $100,000 to $1 million in SGD today, depending on many factors such as country, university, academic field, degree level, inflation, and foreign currency exposure. It is not a small amount to set aside and requires a well-considered financial plan to achieve successfully.

Effective education planning entails careful consideration of your children’s education needs and thus the financial goal, which we examined in the first part of this article; and proactively formulating and managing a financial plan to achieve this goal, which we explored in the second part.

Neither the goal nor the plan are cast in stone. You need to regularly review the financial goal, to see if it needs to be adjusted to meet your children’s education needs during their formative years. You also need to regularly review the financial plan, to ensure the investment performance is on track to meet our goal. Should there be deviations in the goal and performance, you will need to adjust your plan accordingly.

In conclusion, planning for your children’s education is a proactive and thoughtful approach to securing a bright future for them. By understanding their unique needs, setting clear goals, making financial plans, and adapting the plans over time, you can be in a much better position to provide your children with the necessary foundation and opportunities to thrive academically, personally, and professionally.

– Footnotes –

[1] The returns of the 2 portfolios are stated for illustration purposes and would depend on the actual performance of the underlying assets.

My Series of Providend Media Content

This blog post serves as a content page for a series of media content written/recorded and released on Providend website. I would update the list as I add more content in the capacity of Solutions Specialist at Providend to the blog.

Wealth Planning for Your Child’s Tertiary Education (Part 1) – Setting a Financial Goal

This is my second article written in the capacity of Solutions Specialist at Providend looking at wealth planning for children tertiary education. The article has 2 parts, and part 1 was first published on Providend website here:
https://providend.com/wealth-planning-for-your-childrens-tertiary-education-part-1-setting-a-financial-goal/


For many Singaporean parents, sending their children to university is an important life goal. A good tertiary education gives their children a head start on their future career. As education costs are expected to increase in the future, it is important to plan and set aside a children’s education fund as part of their wealth planning for the family.

At Providend, we believe in supporting our clients to achieve their life goals by providing them with honest, independent, and competent advice. In the area of children’s education planning, we have put in many hours of research to examine the total cost of a university degree at both local and overseas institutions.

The total cost includes 2 main components, namely tuition fees and living expenses. This information will give our clients a rough idea of the amount they need to set aside for their children’s education fund. Once the amount is determined, they can add this financial goal to their wealth plan.

In this 2-part article, we will examine the cost of tertiary education in Part 1, and look at the financial planning aspect in Part 2.

Education Planning Philosophy

Providend’s planning philosophy is to first make life decisions before making financial decisions. Planning for children’s education is no exception. Therefore, we begin education planning by considering the following factors:

  • Time Horizon: When will your children begin their tertiary education?
  • Country Selection: Will you send your children to local or overseas universities? Which country if overseas?
  • University Selection: Which university will you send your children to?
  • Academic Field: Which course of study will your children go to?
  • Degree Level: Which degree level will your children attain? Bachelor’s, Masters, or PhD?

You may not have definite answers for the above factors initially, but they set you thinking about your children’s education needs. These needs might be based on your wishes while your children are still young, and revised regularly according to your children’s characters, talents, interests, and inspiration during their growing up years.

Once the above factors are determined, we can estimate the amount you need to set aside.

Education Research Methodology

The most recent education research we conducted was completed in April 2023. The main objective was to estimate the total cost of university education in various countries, universities, and academic fields.

Source of Research Data

Information on tuition fees and living expenses were retrieved from each selected university’s portal. CPI inflation data were taken from Singapore Department of Statistics (DOS) database[1] and World Bank database[2] for Singapore and overseas universities respectively.

Country Selection

The scope of our research covered universities in Singapore and other popular countries for Singapore parents. The top 3 overseas study destinations[3] we covered were Australia (AU), United Kingdom (UK), and United States of America (US).

University Selection

In each country, we chose the top universities in that country for conservative figures. Specifically, we selected all 6 autonomous universities[4] in Singapore, 3 universities from the Group of Eight[5] in Australia, 3 Universities from the Russel Group[6] in United Kingdom, and 3 Universities from the Private and Ivy League[7] in United States.

Academic Field

Since academic fields are very broad, we divided them into two general categories called medicine (including Dentistry) and non-medicine (Law, Business, Science, etc). The tuition fees for the courses under the non-medicine field do not generally deviate much to warrant further generalization into finer granularity.

Degree Level

We focused our research on undergraduate degrees. This is the first degree level for tertiary education, and it determines the duration for completing the whole programme. Anything beyond the first degree would mean additional years of study resulting in higher total education costs.

Tuition Fees

Tuition fees can vary widely across different universities and different academic fields. We used the 75th percentile to arrive at a good representative figure for tuition fees while avoiding being skewed by extremely high tuition outliers.

Tuition fees generally increase yearly due to inflation. We retrieved historical tuition fees from each university’s portal as far back as possible and used them to calculate the average tuition fees inflation. This enabled us to estimate the projected tuition fees in future.

Different universities adopt different fee structures. Singapore universities offer a cohort-based fee system, where the annual tuition fees for students who matriculate in a specific year are fixed throughout the duration of study. For overseas universities, tuition fees are typically calculated per unit, per term, or per quarter, and the fees are reviewed and adjusted regularly.

The total tuition fees for the entire course would be annual tuition fees multiplied by number of years of study for Singapore universities, and the sum of inflation-adjusted tuition fees over the number of years of study for overseas universities.

Living Expenses

Each university portal presented this information in different ways. We ended up normalising the living expenses into categories, such as accommodation (hostel and utilities), food (campus meals with occasional dining out), personal expenses (basic lifestyle), transport (public transport with occasional taxi or private hire rides), study cost (books and stationery) and miscellaneous expenses.

We calculated the average annual increase in living expenses by averaging the past 30 years of CPI inflation rates. The total living expenses would be the sum of inflation-adjusted living expenses over the number of years of study.

Foreign Currency Exchange Rate

For overseas universities, both the tuition fees and living expenses were quoted in their respective currencies. We converted the foreign currency to the Singapore Dollar (SGD) using the exchange rate on 31 March 2023. The exchange rates used were 1 Australia Dollar (AUD), 1 British Pound (GBP) and 1 United States Dollar (USD) to 0.8895, 1.6410 and 1.3306 SGD respectively.

Key Findings in University Education Research

Based on the above research methodology, we present a summary of the total university education costs in various countries in the following tables:


Some key findings from the research data:

  • The total cost of university education ranges from slightly under $100,000 to almost $1 million in 2023.
  • The total cost of overseas university education is higher than that of local study, with United States being the costliest location, followed by United Kingdom, Australia, and Singapore.
  • The total cost of a medicine course is higher than that of a non-medicine course, due to 2 factors, i.e., higher tuition fees and longer duration of study.
  • Each university in each country have different inflation rates for their tuition fees and living expenses. The average inflation rates are 4% and 3% for tuition fees and living expenses respectively.
  • On average, the total cost for Singapore university education has increased by 8% since our previous research done in May 2021.
  • Over the same period, the total cost of overseas university education also increased in terms of their respective currencies, but the increases were softened in SGD terms as we saw a strengthening SGD against those foreign currencies.
  • Specifically, we saw total costs for an Australia education reduced by an average of 4.5% amidst the backdrop of AUD weakened by about 15% against SGD.
  • On the other hand, total cost for United Kingdom and United States education increased by an average of 5% and 6% respectively, while GBP and USD weakened by about 13% and less than 1% against SGD respectively.

With an estimated cost in 2023, we can project the amount needed based on the average inflation rates when it is time to send our children for university studies. This serves as the baseline financial goal of our wealth planning. In the next part, we will explore how to achieve this goal.

– Footnotes –

[1] DOS: https://www.singstat.gov.sg/find-data/search-by-theme/economy/prices-and-price-indices/latest-data

[2] World Bank: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG

[3] AECC Global: https://www.aeccglobal.sg/blog/top-5-study-overseas-destinations-for-the-singapore-students/

[4] MOE: https://www.moe.gov.sg/post-secondary/overview/autonomous-universities/

[5] Group of Eight: https://go8.edu.au/

[6] Russell Group: https://russellgroup.ac.uk/about/our-universities/

[7] Private and Ivy League: https://www.uopeople.edu/blog/what-are-the-12-ivy-league-schools/

Robo War Experiment (RWE) Update – May 2023

This is a performance update to my Robo War Experiment (RWE) posted here:
https://pwlcm.wordpress.com/2023/05/05/robo-war-experiment-rwe-update-april-2023/

Disclaimer: This post is just for educational sharing purposes. Please do your own due diligence on any products mentioned in this post.


Performance Update

Here is the May 2023 Performance Update:


Even though the 3 benchmark indices remained positive in May 2023, Syfe and StashAway portfolios were slightly in the red, so was MoneyOwl portfolio deeper in the red at -1.31%. Endowus and SquirrelSave portfolios maintained their positive returns in May 2023.

Key Observations

  1. All 3 benchmark indices and 2 robo advisors (Endowus and SquirrelSave) remained at positive monthly returns in May 2023, but the remaining 3 robo advisors (Syfe, StashAway and MoneyOwl) were in the red.
  2. Endowus returned to positive territory in terms of XIRR since inception.

Referral Links

Endowus: https://endowus.com/invite?code=J6YV3
Syfe: https://www.syfe.com/invite/wealth/SRPTRJTFQ
StashAway: https://www.stashaway.sg/referrals/choonght43
MoneyOwl: https://moneyowl.com.sg/app/accounts/sign-up?referral_code=5FZY-58AG
SquirrelSave: https://app.squirrelsave.com.sg/Start/Referralcode?referralid=2996

Crypto Investment Update – May 2023

This is a performance update to my crypto portfolio posted here:
https://pwlcm.wordpress.com/2023/05/01/crypto-investment-update-april-2023/

Disclaimer: This post is just for educational sharing purposes. Please do your own due diligence on any products mentioned in this post.


LUNA 2.0 Airdrop Update – May 2023

I received the very first LUNA 2.0 airdrop in September 2022 (as reported in my blog post Crypto Investment Update – LUNA 2.0 Airdrop Received). After a 6-month cliff, I expected another airdrop in April 2023, but it didn’t happen. Again I emailed Tokenize Exchange for an answer, and was informed that the 6-month worth of airdrop had been credited on 10 May 2023. I checked the amount against my calculation, and the amount tallies.

After the 6-month cliff, I am supposed to receive monthly airdrops from now on until the rest of 24 months. Hopefully Tokenize Exchange can continue with the airdrops without me prompting them. We shall see in next month update.

Performance Update

Here are the charts of the 4 crypto coins in my portfolio as of end May 2023:


The charts stayed pretty much similar to last month charts, both BTC and ETH maintained their recovery and stayed within their respective support and resistance levels, SOL stayed flat, and LUNA2 remained in the doldrums. However, both BTC and ETH went under their Ichimoku Clouds, and the clouds at the far right had just experience the Bearish Twists. The recovery might fizzle out in the near future.

Next is the performance update as of 31 May 2023:


With the weakness in May 2023, both BTC and XIRR since inception had turned from positive to negative. Overall allocation dropped slightly.

Referral Links

Tokenize Exchange:
https://tokenize.exchange/topic/invited/?invite_code=Vn58M

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